Gallup:
Tick tock... I think that's the sound of the Regan coalition's pace maker:
A major reason young adults are increasingly likely to prefer the
Democratic Party is that today's young adults are more racially and
ethnically diverse than young adults of the past. U.S. political
preferences are sharply divided by race, with nonwhite Americans of all ages overwhelmingly identifying as Democrats or leaning Democratic.
Gallup estimates that 54% of 18- to 29-year-olds are non-Hispanic
white and 45% nonwhite, compared with 71% non-Hispanic white and 29%
nonwhite in 1995, the first full year Gallup measured Hispanic
ethnicity.
In 2013, 62% of nonwhite Americans between the ages of 18 and 29 were
Democrats or Democratic leaners, while 25% were Republicans or
Republican leaners. That 37-point Democratic advantage, though sizable,
is slightly lower than the average 42-point advantage from 1995 through
2013.
But young adults are not more Democratic solely because they are more
racially diverse. In recent years, young white adults, who previously
aligned more with the Republican Party, have shifted Democratic. From
1995 to 2005, young whites consistently identified as or leaned
Republican rather than Democratic, by an average of eight points. Since
2006, whites aged 18 to 29 have shown at least a slight Democratic
preference in all but one year, with an average advantage of three
points.
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